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Modell v5 · Aktualisiert am 01 Okt 2026

Unsere Trefferbilanz

Jede Prognose wird mit dem Endergebnis nach 90 Minuten verglichen, nach Liga, Wettbewerb und Saison. Nichts ist handverlesen: Jedes ausgewertete Spiel zählt.

Das sind die Prognosen unserer früheren Modelle, die im September 2026 durch Modell v5 ersetzt wurden. Jede wird am Endergebnis nach 90 Minuten ihres Spiels gemessen, und es zählen nur Prognosen, die zuletzt vor dem Anpfiff aktualisiert wurden.

Ausgewertete Spiele: 403
Trefferquote Spielausgang: 37.5%
Brier-Score, 1X2: 0.662
Trefferquote Über/Unter 2,5: 51.4%
Trefferquote Beide treffen: 48.1%
Trefferquote exaktes Ergebnis: -

Alle Märkte

Ergebnisse nach Markt

Markt	Spiele	Trefferquote	Brier-Score	Logarithmischer Verlust
Spielausgang (1X2)	403	37.5%	0.6619	1.1057
Über/Unter 1,5 Tore	403	73.9%	0.1895	0.5646
Über/Unter 2,5 Tore	403	51.4%	0.2725	0.7465
Über/Unter 3,5 Tore	403	73.0%	0.2037	0.6095
Beide Teams treffen	403	48.1%	0.2734	0.7448

Die Trefferquote zählt den Ausgang, den wir als wahrscheinlichsten markiert haben. Brier-Score und Log-Loss bewerten die vollständigen Wahrscheinlichkeiten, ein selbstsicherer Fehler kostet also mehr als ein vorsichtiger.

Monat für Monat

Trefferquote Spielausgang im Zeitverlauf

Als Tabelle anzeigen

Zeitraum	Spiele	Trefferquote	Brier-Score	Über/Unter 2,5	Beide Teams treffen
Sep 2026	32	43.8%	0.5758	40.6%	37.5%
Aug 2026	40	40.0%	0.6255	47.5%	52.5%
Jul 2026	28	39.3%	0.6649	46.4%	50.0%
Mai 2026	50	38.0%	0.6729	48.0%	36.0%
Apr 2026	50	34.0%	0.5866	58.0%	50.0%
Mär 2026	40	40.0%	0.6647	37.5%	37.5%
Feb 2026	27	33.3%	0.7465	59.3%	40.7%
Jan 2026	10	50.0%	0.6904	60.0%	70.0%
Nov 2025	43	34.9%	0.6789	51.2%	55.8%
Okt 2025	55	40.0%	0.6727	58.2%	58.2%
Sep 2025	28	25.0%	0.7812	64.3%	53.6%

Hellere Balken beruhen auf weniger als 100 Spielen und schwanken stark durch Zufall.

Halten die Prozentwerte, was sie sagen?

Kalibrierung

Jeder Punkt fasst Heim-, Remis- und Auswärtswahrscheinlichkeiten ähnlicher Größe zusammen. Liegen die Punkte nahe der Diagonale, tritt ein Ausgang mit 60 % auch in etwa 60 % der Fälle ein.

Wo es am besten funktioniert

Nach Wettbewerbsart

Gruppe	Spiele	Trefferquote	Brier-Score
Top-Ligen	11,157	42.8%	0.661
Weitere Männerligen	100,879	44.4%	0.649
Pokalwettbewerbe	10,259	46.8%	0.632
Frauenfußball	5,618	54.5%	0.583
Jugend und Reserve	9,161	46.0%	0.643
Nationalmannschaften	2,184	59.2%	0.559
Freundschaftsspiele	5,692	49.5%	0.623

Die Gruppen folgen den Filtern für Zeitraum und Modell. Ungleiche Wettbewerbe wie Pokale und Frauenligen sind leichter vorherzusagen als ausgeglichene Topligen.

759 Ligen mit mindestens 30 Spielen

Nach Liga

Liga	Spiele	Trefferquote	Brier-Score	Über/Unter 2,5	Beide Teams treffen
Friendlies ClubsWelt	4,883	50.0%	0.619	49.8%	48.9%
USL League TwoUSA	961	58.1%	0.571	52.4%	50.7%
U19 BundesligaDeutschland	834	47.7%	0.633	55.9%	53.4%
Serie DBrasilien	617	40.5%	0.659	60.0%	52.2%
Primera NacionalArgentinien	611	38.0%	0.673	66.5%	61.4%
ChampionshipEngland	585	39.8%	0.684	55.1%	51.8%
Reserve LeagueArgentinien	577	41.1%	0.681	55.4%	49.7%
League TwoEngland	548	38.9%	0.699	51.5%	47.2%
League OneEngland	539	37.5%	0.708	51.8%	52.6%
Liga Profesional ArgentinaArgentinien	516	38.4%	0.683	64.0%	52.9%
Torneo Federal AArgentinien	515	38.1%	0.669	61.4%	63.7%
FriendliesWelt	485	45.4%	0.644	47.7%	50.8%
FAW ChampionshipWales	484	48.1%	0.637	52.3%	49.4%
Division One LeagueGhana	479	44.9%	0.653	69.6%	60.9%
MLS Next ProUSA	472	45.3%	0.655	58.3%	55.9%
Primera CArgentinien	466	28.5%	0.694	66.1%	61.4%
Segunda DivisiónSpanien	463	38.7%	0.692	52.4%	51.5%
Primera B MetropolitanaArgentinien	462	37.7%	0.685	63.5%	57.3%
Major League SoccerUSA	462	45.5%	0.656	59.7%	57.9%
National League - NorthEngland	450	40.7%	0.690	45.7%	42.5%
National League - SouthEngland	448	40.2%	0.689	51.5%	45.4%
FA CupEngland	445	41.8%	0.672	54.8%	56.4%
2. LigTürkei	444	47.5%	0.633	53.8%	53.1%
National LeagueEngland	443	44.5%	0.657	49.9%	46.0%
J2 LeagueJapan	434	39.4%	0.710	52.3%	50.6%
Campionato Primavera - 2Italien	427	41.9%	0.664	51.4%	49.4%
Serie BBrasilien	418	37.8%	0.664	52.0%	51.5%
Serie ABrasilien	403	37.5%	0.662	51.4%	48.1%
Eerste DivisieNiederlande	400	41.0%	0.711	46.3%	46.1%
Non League Premier - IsthmianEngland	397	44.6%	0.661	46.7%	42.4%
Non League Premier - Southern SouthEngland	395	42.3%	0.674	42.6%	45.4%
3. LigaDeutschland	394	40.4%	0.688	46.8%	47.6%
USL W LeagueUSA	392	65.3%	0.541	-	-
Primera AKolumbien	391	38.4%	0.667	50.6%	48.1%
Liga Premier Serie AMexiko	391	43.2%	0.676	48.7%	51.0%
Non League Premier - Southern CentralEngland	390	45.4%	0.644	46.6%	46.9%
USL ChampionshipUSA	389	37.8%	0.678	48.5%	46.2%
Serie AItalien	386	45.3%	0.656	49.2%	53.6%
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueWelt	379	49.3%	0.603	54.8%	51.9%
First Amateur DivisionBelgien	373	38.9%	0.685	51.0%	45.1%
Non League Premier - NorthernEngland	370	35.7%	0.704	50.4%	45.7%
Ligue 2Algerien	367	54.8%	0.590	61.1%	55.6%
Non League Div One - Isthmian NorthEngland	362	50.8%	0.615	-	-
Iraqi LeagueIrak	362	42.0%	0.649	51.5%	48.8%
La LigaSpanien	359	46.5%	0.655	55.9%	52.1%
Football League - Lowland LeagueSchottland	353	49.0%	0.626	52.5%	49.3%
Derde DivisieNiederlande	350	50.3%	0.629	61.1%	63.0%
Ligue 1Demokratische Republik Kongo	349	44.7%	0.642	-	-
1. LigTürkei	348	48.6%	0.629	52.9%	51.1%
Football League - Highland LeagueSchottland	348	53.2%	0.598	57.9%	50.3%
Oberliga - WestfalenDeutschland	348	45.1%	0.651	53.9%	56.6%
Serie C - Girone CItalien	347	37.8%	0.688	52.1%	50.0%
FA TrophyEngland	344	42.2%	0.681	63.4%	55.9%
League TwoChina	344	34.3%	0.689	55.6%	56.0%
Campionato Primavera - 1Italien	343	34.1%	0.695	52.2%	44.9%
Paulista - U20Brasilien	343	52.2%	0.580	51.8%	51.8%
Third League - SoutheastBulgarien	338	56.5%	0.601	51.6%	48.4%
Serie C - Girone AItalien	337	41.5%	0.677	58.6%	53.9%
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Spanien	335	34.9%	0.690	58.2%	56.0%
Non League Div One - Southern SouthEngland	333	52.0%	0.604	-	-
Liga AlefIsrael	333	37.8%	0.701	47.4%	50.2%
Non League Div One - Isthmian South CentralEngland	332	44.9%	0.639	-	-
Serie BItalien	332	39.5%	0.689	53.6%	47.0%
Ligue 2Frankreich	330	40.0%	0.687	50.9%	46.6%
Serie C - Girone BItalien	329	38.9%	0.670	55.6%	49.5%
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Spanien	328	35.1%	0.718	51.5%	52.1%
Premier LeagueEngland	327	50.8%	0.664	50.8%	49.2%
Oberliga - HessenDeutschland	327	42.8%	0.681	46.6%	50.0%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgien	324	43.8%	0.652	51.6%	48.1%
Premier LeagueÄthiopien	324	29.9%	0.712	69.8%	58.7%
Ligue 2Tunesien	324	40.1%	0.671	58.4%	58.8%
Friendlies WomenWelt	324	49.1%	0.649	49.2%	55.1%
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarDeutschland	323	48.6%	0.618	52.0%	52.0%
Süper LigTürkei	317	41.0%	0.662	52.3%	50.6%
1. DivisionBelarus	317	41.3%	0.669	50.4%	49.3%
EkstraklasaPolen	317	40.4%	0.678	48.6%	48.9%
Premier Soccer LeagueSimbabwe	316	37.7%	0.647	70.5%	58.2%
Oberliga - NiederrheinDeutschland	314	41.7%	0.669	48.2%	51.8%
Liga MXMexiko	313	41.9%	0.663	48.9%	48.2%
2. BundesligaDeutschland	311	36.3%	0.714	46.9%	50.5%
Non League Div One - Northern EastEngland	310	43.2%	0.648	-	-
Primera DivisiónPeru	310	42.6%	0.661	50.3%	50.0%
II Liga - EastPolen	310	37.4%	0.678	45.5%	46.2%
Liga LeumitIsrael	309	37.5%	0.685	50.4%	46.5%
Liga IRumänien	309	43.7%	0.641	54.7%	56.0%
Division 1Saudi-Arabien	309	46.3%	0.625	47.3%	36.7%
NPFLNigeria	308	43.5%	0.658	60.8%	59.4%
Liga IIRumänien	307	47.9%	0.662	51.8%	51.8%
Regionalliga - NordostDeutschland	306	43.8%	0.664	53.7%	55.1%
Liga ProEcuador	305	41.0%	0.670	58.0%	52.1%
Third League - SouthwestBulgarien	304	49.7%	0.623	49.3%	62.0%
First LeagueRussland	303	42.9%	0.653	55.8%	55.1%
J1 LeagueJapan	302	45.0%	0.660	49.3%	48.7%
Prva LigaSerbien	301	42.5%	0.652	52.4%	51.3%
Super LeagueKenia	301	42.9%	0.653	42.9%	71.4%
I LigaPolen	301	42.9%	0.660	47.2%	39.5%
Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergDeutschland	301	43.5%	0.659	48.6%	53.3%
3. liga - MSFLTschechische Republik	300	40.7%	0.670	44.5%	49.6%
Regionalliga - BayernDeutschland	300	39.7%	0.692	49.6%	47.8%
Oberliga - HamburgDeutschland	300	50.7%	0.594	45.9%	45.1%
III Liga - Group 1Polen	300	52.7%	0.628	51.8%	51.4%
Super LigaSerbien	299	38.8%	0.634	54.8%	48.5%
1. Liga PromotionSchweiz	297	42.1%	0.669	51.9%	50.0%
Primeira LigaPortugal	295	46.4%	0.629	55.5%	48.1%
Regionalliga - NordDeutschland	295	40.3%	0.666	46.6%	49.2%
III Liga - Group 2Polen	294	45.9%	0.655	53.2%	59.6%
Oberliga - Bayern NordDeutschland	293	44.4%	0.655	50.3%	52.3%
EredivisieNiederlande	292	46.2%	0.653	62.4%	62.0%
Pro LeagueSaudi-Arabien	291	53.3%	0.594	50.9%	48.5%
Second Amateur Division - ACFFBelgien	291	48.1%	0.618	46.7%	57.8%
Premier LeagueÄgypten	290	43.8%	0.620	64.5%	52.8%
Serie D - Girone HItalien	290	38.3%	0.679	58.2%	56.6%
Regionalliga - WestDeutschland	289	39.1%	0.690	47.8%	48.9%
III Liga - Group 4Polen	289	47.1%	0.621	46.4%	51.6%
Serie D - Girone IItalien	288	40.6%	0.687	60.8%	54.0%
Oberliga - Bayern SüdDeutschland	287	47.4%	0.651	50.7%	53.0%
Ligue 1Frankreich	286	42.3%	0.701	53.7%	49.5%
Regionalliga - SudWestDeutschland	286	40.2%	0.691	50.0%	45.1%
Serie D - Girone FItalien	286	39.5%	0.653	53.2%	50.0%
Druha LigaUkraine	285	41.4%	0.647	52.1%	57.1%
National Soccer LeagueRuanda	285	40.4%	0.667	72.2%	50.0%
Serie D - Girone CItalien	285	39.6%	0.664	55.2%	51.3%
Czech LigaTschechische Republik	283	48.8%	0.641	53.4%	52.7%
Serie D - Girone GItalien	283	38.2%	0.699	49.4%	48.2%
Serie D - Girone BItalien	282	37.6%	0.678	52.5%	50.0%
III Liga - Group 3Polen	282	42.2%	0.647	46.0%	46.0%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Spanien	281	37.0%	0.695	54.2%	52.9%
First LeagueBulgarien	280	45.7%	0.640	62.9%	54.3%
Serie D - Girone AItalien	280	35.7%	0.714	56.6%	50.4%
Serie D - Girone EItalien	280	38.6%	0.684	59.2%	53.8%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Spanien	279	50.2%	0.608	56.7%	58.0%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Spanien	279	50.9%	0.618	50.6%	58.4%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Spanien	279	44.8%	0.648	52.9%	52.9%
Serie D - Girone DItalien	278	45.7%	0.649	57.4%	55.8%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Spanien	278	42.4%	0.675	54.9%	51.2%
Championnat NationalBenin	277	41.2%	0.647	-	-
Second LeagueBulgarien	277	42.6%	0.644	51.0%	56.5%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Spanien	277	36.8%	0.702	61.8%	52.8%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Spanien	277	40.8%	0.686	57.0%	51.2%
Second LeagueÄgypten	277	39.7%	0.669	62.2%	60.5%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Spanien	276	40.2%	0.686	54.1%	48.8%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Spanien	276	41.7%	0.670	54.7%	52.0%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Spanien	275	46.5%	0.619	53.1%	54.4%
UEFA Champions LeagueWelt	275	49.1%	0.633	55.9%	53.1%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Spanien	274	40.9%	0.682	49.2%	46.9%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Spanien	274	39.8%	0.672	51.0%	56.9%
K League 2Südkorea	273	41.8%	0.653	51.4%	50.6%
Tweede DivisieNiederlande	273	39.9%	0.691	51.9%	45.0%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Spanien	273	48.4%	0.629	56.6%	54.8%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Spanien	272	47.4%	0.644	54.7%	52.9%
USL League OneUSA	272	42.6%	0.654	48.6%	51.8%
BundesligaDeutschland	271	41.7%	0.656	56.3%	54.8%
Ligi kuu BaraTansania	271	48.0%	0.588	57.0%	62.0%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Spanien	271	46.9%	0.628	59.6%	57.5%
SuperettanSchweden	269	39.4%	0.684	44.9%	46.9%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Spanien	269	40.1%	0.708	51.6%	52.0%
Segunda LigaPortugal	268	34.7%	0.718	55.2%	52.4%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Spanien	268	34.7%	0.692	54.8%	52.3%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Spanien	268	41.4%	0.673	47.8%	43.9%
Premier League 2 Division OneEngland	267	41.9%	0.689	46.8%	46.4%
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Spanien	267	32.6%	0.704	55.8%	46.3%
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Spanien	266	38.7%	0.691	52.0%	47.2%
Júniores U19Portugal	266	43.2%	0.665	50.0%	44.4%
Premier LeagueGhana	265	40.8%	0.667	62.8%	62.8%
Challenger Pro LeagueBelgien	265	44.9%	0.639	47.0%	47.9%
Liga 1Indonesien	265	49.1%	0.623	48.1%	49.4%
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Spanien	264	39.0%	0.681	51.2%	50.4%
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Spanien	263	42.6%	0.664	55.3%	49.4%
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Spanien	263	38.4%	0.685	58.8%	50.0%
NB IIUngarn	262	38.2%	0.683	55.4%	56.3%
GirabolaAngola	261	46.0%	0.625	45.2%	48.4%
ChampionshipNordirland	260	48.5%	0.629	52.6%	51.1%
Third League - NortheastBulgarien	258	67.8%	0.532	60.0%	57.8%
Liga NacionalGuatemala	257	43.6%	0.660	53.7%	54.5%
Liga 3Georgien	257	45.9%	0.643	46.8%	44.0%
Thai League 2Thailand	256	42.2%	0.703	51.0%	43.7%
FKF Premier LeagueKenia	256	36.3%	0.704	66.7%	57.5%
Primera BKolumbien	256	38.7%	0.695	54.4%	55.7%
3. liga - CFL ATschechische Republik	256	39.1%	0.676	48.2%	45.5%
Azadegan LeagueIran	255	38.0%	0.647	77.0%	66.7%
Premier LeagueBelarus	254	40.2%	0.673	52.3%	45.0%
Liga 3Portugal	254	40.2%	0.689	57.5%	50.9%
2. ligaSlowakei	253	39.5%	0.684	47.8%	49.1%
1. DivisionNorwegen	253	42.3%	0.678	54.4%	56.2%
3. liga - CFL BTschechische Republik	253	45.5%	0.655	51.1%	47.1%
League OneChina	252	46.4%	0.640	49.8%	47.5%
Ettan - SödraSchweden	251	39.0%	0.690	48.7%	52.2%
Second LeagueNordmazedonien	251	67.7%	0.501	53.8%	53.8%
1 LygaLitauen	250	51.2%	0.594	44.7%	53.0%
Premier LeagueUkraine	249	46.6%	0.599	54.6%	55.0%
National DivisionLuxemburg	249	49.4%	0.617	51.7%	48.8%
Super LeagueSambia	249	40.6%	0.651	-	-
2. SNLSlowenien	249	45.8%	0.630	52.9%	45.2%
1. Liga Classic - Group 2Schweiz	249	44.6%	0.663	59.6%	63.2%
Liga MX FemenilMexiko	249	55.4%	0.549	50.9%	50.4%
Ligue 3Frankreich	248	38.3%	0.680	48.9%	46.8%
1. Liga Classic - Group 1Schweiz	248	41.1%	0.685	58.9%	71.4%
1. Liga Classic - Group 3Schweiz	248	48.0%	0.633	60.7%	60.7%
Liga Revelação U23Portugal	248	36.7%	0.687	51.7%	44.6%
Ettan - NorraSchweden	247	40.1%	0.669	47.6%	46.3%
Persha LigaUkraine	246	39.8%	0.676	57.6%	57.6%
Liga 2Indonesien	245	45.3%	0.614	58.7%	49.0%
Oberliga - NiedersachsenDeutschland	245	49.0%	0.649	51.2%	50.0%
PremiershipSchottland	244	41.8%	0.646	54.5%	53.7%
Ligat Ha'alIsrael	244	47.1%	0.633	50.4%	45.0%
Botola 2Marokko	244	34.8%	0.679	66.7%	47.6%
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinDeutschland	244	46.3%	0.647	53.3%	60.0%
Oberliga - BremenDeutschland	244	57.4%	0.579	51.9%	50.6%
Super LeagueChina	243	43.2%	0.661	49.8%	49.8%
Primera DivisionEl Salvador	242	46.3%	0.632	53.0%	48.7%
1. Liga U19Tschechische Republik	242	38.0%	0.699	56.5%	51.6%
Premier LeagueLesotho	242	50.8%	0.609	63.3%	60.0%
Primera DivisiónChile	241	43.2%	0.672	51.5%	47.2%
NB III - NorthwestUngarn	241	49.4%	0.616	50.2%	53.7%
Second League - Group 3Russland	241	49.0%	0.599	46.8%	50.9%
Primera DivisiónBolivien	240	49.6%	0.608	49.5%	50.0%
Derde Divisie - SundayNiederlande	240	49.2%	0.619	-	-
Oberliga - MittelrheinDeutschland	240	59.6%	0.585	54.8%	38.7%
FNLTschechische Republik	239	39.3%	0.683	52.0%	51.0%
Youth ChampionshipRussland	239	48.5%	0.609	56.9%	55.9%
1st DivisionSüdafrika	237	38.0%	0.666	50.0%	52.5%
4. liga - Divizie FTschechische Republik	237	46.8%	0.610	71.4%	64.3%
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdDeutschland	237	50.2%	0.633	60.3%	64.7%
First LeagueArmenien	236	54.2%	0.600	54.7%	57.8%
Super LeagueSchweiz	236	44.9%	0.662	61.9%	56.4%
Super League 2Griechenland	236	52.5%	0.607	59.0%	57.9%
3. liga - WestSlowakei	236	50.0%	0.640	58.9%	57.1%
Second League - Group 1Russland	236	48.3%	0.628	51.3%	54.8%
Oberliga - Nordost-NordDeutschland	236	49.2%	0.633	42.2%	42.2%
EliteserienNorwegen	235	43.8%	0.631	50.7%	52.0%
AllsvenskanSchweden	235	43.4%	0.637	48.0%	45.8%
PremiershipNordirland	235	42.1%	0.667	45.2%	46.1%
Second Amateur Division - VFV BBelgien	235	44.3%	0.649	50.0%	46.9%
NB III - SouthwestUngarn	235	54.0%	0.559	56.2%	48.1%
NWSL WomenUSA	235	45.1%	0.666	51.3%	52.2%
UEFA Europa LeagueWelt	235	44.7%	0.642	49.6%	49.6%
NB III - NortheastUngarn	234	44.4%	0.640	51.0%	50.5%
NB III - SoutheastUngarn	234	49.1%	0.622	48.9%	46.0%
Professional Development LeagueEngland	233	36.9%	0.711	45.7%	45.7%
4. liga - Divizie CTschechische Republik	233	54.5%	0.599	67.3%	60.0%
UEFA Youth LeagueWelt	233	48.5%	0.633	37.7%	37.7%
Regionalliga - WestÖsterreich	232	41.8%	0.652	46.2%	53.8%
Premier Soccer LeagueSüdafrika	232	44.4%	0.637	67.0%	53.9%
4. liga - Divizie DTschechische Republik	232	44.0%	0.672	48.4%	61.3%
Botola ProMarokko	231	41.1%	0.662	63.3%	49.7%
Second Amateur Division - VFV ABelgien	231	43.7%	0.666	46.9%	68.8%
4. liga - Divizie ATschechische Republik	231	58.9%	0.560	63.3%	63.3%
4. liga - Divizie BTschechische Republik	230	52.2%	0.625	75.9%	64.8%
Premier LeagueUganda	229	45.9%	0.621	56.7%	61.2%
Super LeagueUsbekistan	229	43.7%	0.629	51.4%	51.4%
Premier LeagueRussland	229	48.0%	0.627	58.1%	54.1%
Liga de AscensoCosta Rica	226	42.5%	0.642	54.0%	44.1%
New South Wales NPL 2Australien	226	46.9%	0.665	61.6%	61.1%
Segunda DivisiónUruguay	225	32.4%	0.717	59.8%	49.7%
2. LigaÖsterreich	225	42.7%	0.683	53.9%	52.0%
CampionatoSan Marino	225	54.2%	0.548	51.8%	54.6%
Segunda DivisiónVenezuela	224	41.5%	0.658	50.7%	53.7%
Premier LeagueKasachstan	224	37.1%	0.618	51.6%	47.4%
Primera BChile	224	33.9%	0.703	48.2%	50.3%
New South Wales NPLAustralien	224	49.6%	0.640	55.7%	51.0%
Premier LeagueKirgisistan	223	40.8%	0.692	59.1%	54.0%
K League 1Südkorea	223	37.2%	0.676	58.5%	52.7%
Primera DivisiónVenezuela	221	40.3%	0.655	55.1%	50.5%
Liga de Expansión MXMexiko	221	39.8%	0.674	52.4%	51.9%
Serie CBrasilien	220	32.7%	0.705	62.4%	60.1%
Division IntermediaParaguay	220	43.2%	0.649	50.5%	51.5%
Central Youth LeaguePolen	220	38.2%	0.693	47.9%	49.5%
Second NLKroatien	219	39.7%	0.688	46.0%	50.8%
Brasileiro U17Brasilien	219	49.8%	0.599	54.0%	48.5%
3. DivisionDänemark	218	38.1%	0.655	48.9%	51.1%
Liga NacionalHonduras	217	41.9%	0.651	53.8%	44.8%
4. liga - Divizie ETschechische Republik	217	57.1%	0.580	64.3%	62.5%
Premier LeagueEswatini	217	42.9%	0.644	75.0%	62.5%
Division 1Vereinigte Arabische Emirate	216	50.5%	0.611	55.5%	50.0%
Ligue 1Senegal	216	34.7%	0.683	-	-
Super LeagueMalawi	216	44.0%	0.659	56.3%	63.4%
1. DivisionZypern	216	45.8%	0.636	52.2%	53.1%
Ligue ABurundi	216	44.9%	0.642	38.5%	50.8%
Super League 1Griechenland	215	47.4%	0.629	53.0%	48.8%
U19 LeagueUkraine	214	53.3%	0.594	53.9%	53.9%
Liga MX U21Mexiko	214	34.6%	0.684	47.8%	51.6%
Ligue 1Algerien	209	47.4%	0.638	60.1%	52.0%
Ligue 1Tunesien	209	47.8%	0.627	67.1%	65.9%
NB IUngarn	209	43.1%	0.668	43.1%	44.5%
2. DivisionDänemark	209	37.3%	0.672	50.8%	46.9%
Ligue 1Elfenbeinküste	209	34.9%	0.690	63.0%	59.3%
Primera División FemeninaSpanien	207	57.0%	0.577	50.0%	52.2%
Second League - Group 2Russland	207	44.4%	0.648	52.8%	50.6%
3. Lig - Group 1Türkei	206	35.0%	0.696	53.4%	49.4%
National 2 - Group BFrankreich	205	36.1%	0.719	42.5%	46.0%
Premier LeagueJamaika	205	40.0%	0.694	50.5%	58.5%
Primera DivisiónUruguay	205	39.0%	0.683	58.2%	47.3%
3. DivisionZypern	205	55.1%	0.571	-	-
Premier LeagueWales	204	46.1%	0.613	46.9%	48.5%
Division 2 - Södra SvealandSchweden	204	46.1%	0.655	41.4%	47.7%
Ligue 1Burkina Faso	204	35.8%	0.718	71.2%	67.1%
Brasileiro U20 ABrasilien	204	43.1%	0.649	52.0%	45.7%
1st League - FBiHBosnien	203	46.8%	0.625	55.8%	44.2%
Division 2 - Södra GötalandSchweden	202	42.1%	0.641	53.9%	44.9%
2. Frauen BundesligaDeutschland	202	56.9%	0.582	73.5%	59.2%
3. Lig - Group 2Türkei	201	34.8%	0.692	52.7%	46.2%
National 2 - Group AFrankreich	201	36.3%	0.693	46.3%	49.4%
League OneSchottland	201	38.8%	0.669	49.0%	45.4%
Premier LeagueBotswana	200	47.5%	0.627	57.1%	42.9%
Liga Pro Serie BEcuador	199	42.2%	0.657	61.7%	58.7%
1. LigaLettland	199	53.8%	0.561	50.6%	53.9%
Premier LeagueMalta	199	39.2%	0.671	56.7%	48.3%
First NLKroatien	199	38.7%	0.709	57.1%	55.5%
Srpska Liga - VojvodinaSerbien	199	51.8%	0.621	-	-
Srpska Liga - WestSerbien	199	39.2%	0.665	-	-
Division 2 - Västra GötalandSchweden	198	34.8%	0.688	50.9%	50.3%
GFA LeagueGambia	198	26.3%	0.761	68.9%	56.9%
3. Lig - Group 3Türkei	197	40.1%	0.684	51.4%	53.1%
League TwoSchottland	197	36.5%	0.692	55.4%	43.5%
Division 2 - Norra GötalandSchweden	197	42.6%	0.654	51.4%	47.5%
2. DivisionZypern	196	43.4%	0.654	54.0%	54.6%
ChampionshipSchottland	195	31.8%	0.711	49.5%	53.3%
Regionalliga - OstÖsterreich	195	44.1%	0.659	53.6%	54.4%
Division 2 - Norra SvealandSchweden	195	46.7%	0.605	48.5%	49.7%
Premier LeagueSyrien	195	53.3%	0.612	55.2%	53.9%
1st League - RSBosnien	194	49.0%	0.617	48.3%	46.7%
Erovnuli LigaGeorgien	193	36.8%	0.686	47.7%	40.8%
Taça de PortugalPortugal	193	47.7%	0.608	56.4%	49.6%
Super LigaSlowakei	193	40.4%	0.688	54.2%	48.4%
DamallsvenskanSchweden	193	44.6%	0.616	46.5%	46.5%
Esiliiga AEstland	192	41.7%	0.668	55.2%	57.0%
Third NL - JugKroatien	192	55.7%	0.605	-	-
ElitettanSchweden	192	42.2%	0.626	48.2%	52.4%
U18 Premier League - SouthEngland	191	43.5%	0.695	64.8%	41.9%
VeikkausliigaFinnland	191	40.8%	0.652	49.1%	43.2%
VirsligaLettland	191	53.9%	0.585	57.3%	44.4%
MeistriliigaEstland	190	47.4%	0.634	50.0%	52.3%
First LeagueNordmazedonien	189	50.3%	0.603	45.1%	48.4%
1. DivisionKasachstan	188	51.6%	0.593	52.4%	45.2%
Thai League 1Thailand	188	45.2%	0.646	51.4%	44.1%
3. liga - CenterSlowakei	188	53.2%	0.608	69.4%	49.0%
1. DivisionDänemark	187	43.3%	0.655	49.1%	48.5%
3. liga - EastSlowakei	187	55.6%	0.606	61.2%	46.9%
Liga E PareKosovo	187	53.5%	0.623	42.6%	38.9%
BundesligaÖsterreich	186	36.0%	0.704	48.9%	45.7%
Premijer LigaBosnien	186	45.2%	0.614	60.2%	59.1%
HNLKroatien	186	46.8%	0.649	55.4%	49.5%
3. Division - Girone 5Norwegen	186	45.2%	0.658	47.0%	44.5%
2. Division - Group 1Norwegen	185	48.6%	0.630	47.6%	48.2%
2. Division - Group 2Norwegen	185	50.3%	0.626	46.5%	47.2%
Second League - Group 4Russland	185	52.4%	0.592	54.9%	51.2%
3. Division - Girone 6Norwegen	185	49.7%	0.623	46.7%	53.3%
SuperligaDänemark	184	43.5%	0.638	51.1%	53.3%
3. Division - Girone 3Norwegen	184	41.8%	0.652	44.0%	47.6%
3. Division - Girone 4Norwegen	184	39.7%	0.680	43.3%	45.1%
CAF Champions LeagueWelt	184	39.1%	0.681	51.7%	62.7%
Premyer LiqaAserbaidschan	183	54.1%	0.597	51.4%	53.1%
K3 LeagueSüdkorea	183	38.3%	0.643	55.6%	58.6%
First LeagueMontenegro	183	38.8%	0.697	62.2%	56.4%
Second League A - Division A GoldRussland	183	37.2%	0.706	56.4%	53.8%
Esiliiga BEstland	183	53.6%	0.612	58.7%	58.1%
National 2 - Group CFrankreich	182	39.6%	0.683	52.4%	45.1%
Landesliga - BurgenlandÖsterreich	182	41.8%	0.644	-	-
3. Division - Girone 2Norwegen	182	36.8%	0.680	58.8%	48.8%
3. SNL - WestSlowenien	182	48.4%	0.637	47.6%	40.5%
Erovnuli Liga 2Georgien	181	37.6%	0.710	51.2%	45.7%
ÚrvalsdeildIsland	181	47.5%	0.644	57.8%	53.4%
Frauen BundesligaDeutschland	181	52.5%	0.607	42.6%	47.9%
3. Division - Girone 1Norwegen	181	49.7%	0.645	46.1%	53.9%
Diski ChallengeSüdafrika	180	46.7%	0.644	-	-
3. Lig - Group 4Türkei	180	53.3%	0.579	53.4%	57.1%
Baiano U20Brasilien	180	59.4%	0.573	54.5%	54.5%
Premier DivisionIrland	179	35.8%	0.710	50.3%	43.4%
Persian Gulf Pro LeagueIran	176	41.5%	0.656	63.4%	58.5%
Srpska Liga - EastSerbien	176	60.8%	0.575	-	-
Landesliga - SteiermarkÖsterreich	176	49.4%	0.622	-	-
First DivisionIrland	176	39.8%	0.682	51.2%	47.0%
A LygaLitauen	175	38.3%	0.659	45.8%	45.2%
Challenge LeagueSchweiz	171	42.1%	0.659	52.4%	49.4%
1st DivisionAlbanien	170	40.6%	0.654	53.8%	45.5%
YkkönenFinnland	170	29.4%	0.697	48.4%	56.9%
Primera DivisionNicaragua	170	43.5%	0.622	45.1%	45.1%
Primera DivisiónCosta Rica	170	44.1%	0.627	50.6%	49.4%
Liga Panameña de FútbolPanama	170	38.8%	0.665	53.3%	49.7%
CupTschechische Republik	170	47.6%	0.610	56.7%	55.4%
J3 LeagueJapan	169	31.4%	0.704	48.8%	46.4%
SuperligaKosovo	169	42.0%	0.658	53.2%	46.8%
SuperligaAlbanien	168	36.3%	0.723	54.7%	51.3%
1. SNLSlowenien	168	42.9%	0.662	44.0%	47.0%
CupRussland	168	39.3%	0.670	45.5%	50.0%
Victoria NPLAustralien	168	50.0%	0.630	47.9%	50.0%
V.League 1Vietnam	167	47.3%	0.658	54.3%	43.7%
Professional LeagueOman	166	51.2%	0.635	51.1%	53.2%
São Paulo Youth CupBrasilien	166	56.6%	0.586	46.7%	53.3%
Pro LeagueVereinigte Arabische Emirate	165	49.1%	0.606	53.6%	43.6%
Second LeagueMontenegro	163	39.3%	0.709	53.3%	54.0%
Victoria NPL 2Australien	163	48.5%	0.671	48.3%	50.3%
CAF Confederation CupWelt	163	38.0%	0.704	52.7%	58.1%
Brasileiro WomenBrasilien	162	56.8%	0.546	56.7%	52.6%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 3Griechenland	162	39.5%	0.650	-	-
UEFA Champions League WomenWelt	162	50.0%	0.626	51.9%	51.3%
World Cup - Women - Qualification EuropeWelt	162	72.8%	0.481	-	-
Liga III - Serie 3Rumänien	161	57.1%	0.608	42.9%	42.9%
3. SNL - EastSlowenien	161	51.6%	0.647	61.9%	64.3%
Challenge LeagueMalta	160	45.0%	0.655	40.9%	49.6%
Premier LeagueMauretanien	160	43.1%	0.654	53.3%	47.8%
Landesliga - OberosterreichÖsterreich	159	46.5%	0.646	-	-
CONMEBOL SudamericanaWelt	159	38.4%	0.642	58.6%	50.0%
U18 Premier League - NorthEngland	158	49.4%	0.654	60.4%	35.1%
Ligue 1Guinea	158	47.5%	0.638	-	-
Liga III - Serie 2Rumänien	157	60.5%	0.569	63.0%	40.7%
Championnat D1Gabun	157	51.0%	0.602	28.6%	42.9%
CupSlowakei	156	49.4%	0.582	56.0%	45.6%
Cupa RomânieiRumänien	155	40.6%	0.648	65.6%	54.4%
World Cup - Qualification EuropeWelt	155	61.9%	0.525	60.0%	46.7%
Division 2Saudi-Arabien	154	46.8%	0.659	-	-
Challenge CupSchottland	153	58.8%	0.558	55.5%	53.1%
Liga III - Serie 4Rumänien	153	49.0%	0.619	62.5%	54.2%
Pro League AUsbekistan	153	55.6%	0.552	49.2%	54.0%
CONMEBOL LibertadoresWelt	153	41.2%	0.690	57.4%	54.3%
Première DivisionMali	152	47.4%	0.631	-	-
Segunda DivisiónPeru	152	42.1%	0.617	59.5%	57.0%
Landesliga - WienÖsterreich	152	52.6%	0.610	-	-
Liga III - Serie 6Rumänien	152	59.2%	0.583	42.9%	71.4%
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationWelt	152	58.6%	0.563	46.7%	46.7%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 6Griechenland	151	51.7%	0.607	-	-
Supreme Division WomenRussland	151	62.9%	0.498	56.8%	53.0%
Segunda DivisiónChile	151	32.5%	0.721	52.5%	50.8%
Premier LeagueArmenien	150	56.7%	0.540	56.7%	54.3%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Griechenland	150	62.0%	0.542	-	-
Liga FemeninaKolumbien	150	53.3%	0.577	64.1%	63.1%
Liga III - Serie 1Rumänien	150	50.7%	0.644	56.0%	60.0%
Torneo Promocional AmateurArgentinien	150	43.3%	0.617	63.7%	54.9%
Super LigaMoldawien	149	45.6%	0.605	49.6%	49.6%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group APortugal	149	45.0%	0.653	52.2%	49.3%
Paulista Série BBrasilien	149	55.0%	0.601	57.6%	46.5%
Coupe de FranceFrankreich	148	41.9%	0.664	50.0%	50.0%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Griechenland	148	53.4%	0.579	-	-
LFA First DivisionLiberia	148	46.6%	0.636	-	-
Türkiye KupasıTürkei	147	37.4%	0.697	40.0%	50.0%
Elite OneKamerun	147	40.1%	0.672	53.3%	54.1%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 2Griechenland	147	59.9%	0.562	-	-
Premier LeagueLibanon	146	54.1%	0.572	60.2%	63.1%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CPortugal	146	44.5%	0.681	59.8%	54.9%
Elite TwoKamerun	146	45.2%	0.643	53.3%	46.7%
ToppserienNorwegen	146	49.3%	0.575	45.0%	50.5%
Division 2 - NorrlandSchweden	144	51.4%	0.616	67.0%	64.2%
2. DeildIsland	144	41.7%	0.627	63.3%	62.4%
MeistaradeildinFäröer Inseln	143	50.3%	0.579	48.4%	46.0%
1. DeildIsland	143	51.0%	0.596	56.3%	53.8%
Landesliga - SalzburgÖsterreich	143	55.9%	0.593	-	-
Liga III - Serie 7Rumänien	143	54.5%	0.586	46.4%	42.9%
Liga III - Serie 8Rumänien	143	51.0%	0.594	53.8%	61.5%
Western Australia State League 1Australien	143	47.6%	0.669	59.5%	59.5%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BPortugal	142	43.7%	0.640	58.5%	48.3%
UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationWelt	142	59.2%	0.543	47.6%	63.5%
National 3 - Group GFrankreich	141	38.3%	0.651	-	-
YkkösliigaFinnland	141	48.2%	0.635	49.2%	47.6%
1. DeildFäröer Inseln	140	55.0%	0.564	65.0%	54.2%
Srpska Liga - BelgradeSerbien	140	57.1%	0.577	-	-
Mineiro U20Brasilien	140	47.9%	0.651	46.4%	48.2%
Landesliga - KarntenÖsterreich	139	44.6%	0.641	-	-
Landesliga - TirolÖsterreich	139	57.6%	0.599	-	-
National 3 - Group HFrankreich	139	47.5%	0.638	-	-
Copa Do BrasilBrasilien	138	35.5%	0.688	53.4%	51.7%
Super LeagueMalaysia	138	58.0%	0.562	49.2%	49.2%
Kansallinen LiigaFinnland	138	65.9%	0.539	49.4%	53.2%
Vysshaya LigaTadschikistan	137	46.0%	0.649	56.1%	54.4%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DPortugal	137	37.2%	0.714	53.8%	48.7%
National 3 - Group DFrankreich	137	36.5%	0.677	-	-
National 3 - Group FFrankreich	136	49.3%	0.630	-	-
National 3 - Group BFrankreich	135	47.4%	0.653	-	-
National 3 - Group EFrankreich	135	39.3%	0.677	-	-
EFL TrophyEngland	133	33.1%	0.715	42.2%	50.0%
C-LeagueKambodscha	133	47.4%	0.631	54.1%	46.7%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5Griechenland	133	46.6%	0.619	-	-
Regionalliga - MitteÖsterreich	132	41.7%	0.661	34.8%	50.0%
Premier DivisionGibraltar	132	48.5%	0.628	43.4%	57.9%
1. Division WomenNorwegen	132	50.8%	0.570	49.1%	44.6%
Birinci DastaAserbaidschan	131	38.9%	0.642	47.8%	51.3%
Northern NSW NPLAustralien	131	49.6%	0.645	62.5%	59.8%
Eredivisie WomenNiederlande	131	62.6%	0.544	66.2%	52.1%
National 3 - Group AFrankreich	131	37.4%	0.660	-	-
AFC Champions League EliteWelt	131	44.3%	0.644	50.4%	53.8%
Premier Intermediate LeagueNordirland	130	61.5%	0.608	-	-
Premier LeagueBahrain	129	54.3%	0.600	52.5%	58.6%
AXA Women’s Super LeagueSchweiz	129	54.3%	0.579	45.6%	47.4%
Liga III - Serie 5Rumänien	129	59.7%	0.568	46.4%	50.0%
Liga III - Play-offsRumänien	129	54.3%	0.625	-	-
UEFA U19 Championship - QualificationWelt	129	55.8%	0.568	33.3%	46.7%
V.League 2Vietnam	128	43.8%	0.674	64.0%	55.8%
Premier League CupEngland	127	48.0%	0.659	42.9%	41.8%
Landesliga - VorarlbergligaÖsterreich	127	44.1%	0.675	-	-
National 3 - Group CFrankreich	127	35.4%	0.699	-	-
Second League A - Division A SilverRussland	127	38.6%	0.720	52.2%	43.4%
A-LeagueAustralien	126	40.5%	0.698	52.1%	48.7%
Division Profesional - ClausuraParaguay	125	43.2%	0.654	57.6%	54.4%
Third League - NorthwestBulgarien	125	62.4%	0.575	55.6%	55.6%
I Liga - WomenSlowakei	125	66.4%	0.548	60.5%	46.1%
South Australia State League 1Australien	125	51.2%	0.642	58.2%	45.5%
DBU PokalenDänemark	124	45.2%	0.629	55.3%	46.5%
Reserve Pro LeagueBelgien	124	50.0%	0.613	51.3%	44.3%
1a DivisióAndorra	123	56.1%	0.572	51.6%	55.8%
USL Super LeagueUSA	123	38.2%	0.674	54.6%	50.9%
South Australia NPLAustralien	122	53.3%	0.565	55.8%	48.7%
Western Australia NPLAustralien	122	43.4%	0.683	59.1%	56.5%
Queensland NPLAustralien	121	49.6%	0.613	67.3%	54.5%
AFC Champions League TwoWelt	121	45.5%	0.661	50.6%	53.2%
Women's ChampionshipEngland	120	45.0%	0.665	45.4%	38.1%
NM CupenNorwegen	120	65.0%	0.499	77.2%	46.7%
Queensland Premier LeagueAustralien	120	52.5%	0.579	52.0%	48.0%
FrauenligaÖsterreich	119	55.5%	0.569	52.9%	48.1%
KvindeligaDänemark	118	49.2%	0.573	59.8%	51.7%
WK-LeagueSüdkorea	118	47.5%	0.632	54.5%	56.4%
Canadian Premier LeagueKanada	118	45.8%	0.618	44.0%	50.5%
Suomen CupFinnland	116	46.6%	0.631	39.1%	50.0%
Copa del ReySpanien	116	40.5%	0.680	53.8%	53.8%
KNVB BekerNiederlande	115	46.1%	0.667	50.8%	36.9%
Capital Territory NPLAustralien	115	68.7%	0.517	62.9%	65.7%
Japan Football LeagueJapan	115	43.5%	0.653	-	-
Premier LeagueKuwait	114	52.6%	0.590	53.3%	50.7%
Ekstraliga WomenPolen	114	56.1%	0.592	52.9%	61.2%
Copa de la División ProfesionalBolivien	114	50.0%	0.623	44.6%	42.9%
PFLPhilippinen	113	54.0%	0.541	54.1%	57.1%
Ýokary LigaTurkmenistan	113	64.6%	0.531	72.0%	64.0%
Stars LeagueKatar	112	43.8%	0.642	50.0%	52.1%
Liga 1Moldawien	112	50.0%	0.615	45.0%	57.5%
Liga MayorDominikanische Republik	112	38.4%	0.615	46.8%	49.5%
Nacional BBolivien	110	53.6%	0.602	39.3%	48.2%
Kakkonen - Lohko AFinnland	109	48.6%	0.624	59.8%	61.9%
Kakkonen - Lohko BFinnland	109	52.3%	0.561	52.4%	42.7%
Kakkonen - Lohko CFinnland	109	50.5%	0.632	68.3%	57.4%
Serie A WomenItalien	108	43.5%	0.638	57.3%	52.4%
WE LeagueJapan	108	43.5%	0.644	52.7%	60.4%
League CupEngland	107	53.3%	0.557	51.9%	55.7%
Division di HonorAruba	106	55.7%	0.581	-	-
Liga 1 FemininRumänien	106	55.7%	0.574	71.1%	50.0%
U21 Divisie 1Niederlande	105	53.3%	0.616	75.0%	37.5%
Pro LeagueTrinidad und Tobago	104	66.3%	0.584	41.7%	41.7%
Premier LeagueHong Kong	104	51.9%	0.588	61.5%	48.4%
Feminine Division 1Frankreich	104	58.7%	0.555	45.0%	54.0%
Sudani Premier LeagueSudan	104	47.1%	0.636	50.0%	25.0%
Svenska CupenSchweden	104	63.5%	0.547	47.8%	32.6%
Northern Super LeagueKanada	104	42.3%	0.670	53.1%	55.1%
FA WSLEngland	103	47.6%	0.613	56.5%	48.9%
Copa ChileChile	103	45.6%	0.632	45.9%	34.4%
World CupWelt	103	51.5%	0.612	61.3%	51.6%
LeagueJordanien	102	44.1%	0.614	55.2%	55.2%
Nasjonal U19 Champions LeagueNorwegen	101	47.5%	0.646	58.6%	62.1%
Tasmania Northern ChampionshipAustralien	101	71.3%	0.491	57.1%	45.7%
Premiership WomenNordirland	101	77.2%	0.426	85.7%	61.2%
World Cup - U17Welt	101	57.4%	0.605	58.8%	56.9%
AFC U17 Asian CupWelt	101	53.5%	0.583	11.1%	44.4%
National LeagueMyanmar	100	45.0%	0.625	55.4%	48.2%
Welsh CupWales	99	49.5%	0.639	11.1%	33.3%
Division Profesional - AperturaParaguay	99	48.5%	0.671	55.6%	51.5%
Paulista - A2Brasilien	99	34.3%	0.715	44.6%	47.8%
Calcutta Premier DivisionIndien	99	42.4%	0.657	40.9%	50.5%
Premier LeagueBhutan	99	49.5%	0.595	45.1%	50.7%
Catarinense U20Brasilien	99	54.5%	0.548	68.8%	68.8%
League CupSchottland	98	65.3%	0.458	53.7%	46.3%
Paulista - A3Brasilien	98	42.9%	0.636	61.6%	61.6%
Carioca U20Brasilien	98	37.8%	0.678	52.9%	58.8%
CupPolen	96	43.8%	0.630	53.2%	42.6%
Super League WomenBelgien	95	57.9%	0.554	42.0%	38.6%
Pro League U23Vereinigte Arabische Emirate	95	45.3%	0.605	55.9%	67.6%
Paulista - A4Brasilien	94	53.2%	0.626	62.9%	59.7%
CupEstland	92	60.9%	0.531	73.6%	45.3%
1. Liga WomenTschechische Republik	92	72.8%	0.502	58.6%	37.9%
CONCACAF U20Welt	92	56.5%	0.570	50.8%	66.2%
Cearense U20Brasilien	91	46.2%	0.590	44.9%	40.8%
USL League One CupUSA	91	41.8%	0.656	44.4%	57.8%
Npl Nsw U20Australien	91	46.2%	0.629	61.3%	57.3%
Premier LeagueMongolei	90	52.2%	0.580	55.4%	52.7%
Catarinense - 2Brasilien	90	50.0%	0.595	54.8%	51.6%
Eerste DivisieSuriname	88	63.6%	0.522	-	-
DFB Junioren PokalDeutschland	86	29.1%	0.748	74.2%	50.0%
Brasiliense U20Brasilien	86	70.9%	0.483	52.3%	50.0%
A-League WomenAustralien	82	52.4%	0.672	53.5%	53.5%
Premier DivisionAntigua und Barbuda	81	64.2%	0.574	-	-
Victoria Premier League 2Australien	81	48.1%	0.635	60.9%	60.9%
National League CupEngland	80	45.0%	0.634	54.8%	53.2%
Magyar KupaUngarn	80	61.3%	0.502	70.3%	44.6%
US Open CupUSA	80	47.5%	0.624	62.5%	50.0%
Liga Premier Serie BMexiko	80	38.8%	0.681	38.1%	55.6%
Pernambucano - U20Brasilien	80	48.8%	0.612	60.8%	58.8%
Indian Super LeagueIndien	79	45.6%	0.606	55.7%	47.1%
Tasmania NPLAustralien	79	68.4%	0.492	56.5%	53.6%
Carioca - 2Brasilien	78	35.9%	0.698	67.2%	53.1%
Third NL - IstokKroatien	78	34.6%	0.673	-	-
1a Divisão - WomenPortugal	78	53.8%	0.576	69.0%	65.5%
Paranaense - 3Brasilien	78	42.3%	0.649	25.0%	37.5%
CupGriechenland	76	52.6%	0.582	54.5%	51.5%
NNSW League 1Australien	76	50.0%	0.636	50.0%	50.0%
Premier LeagueBangladesch	75	46.7%	0.610	53.1%	53.1%
Taiwan Football Premier LeagueChinesisch Taipeh	75	48.0%	0.631	51.5%	50.0%
Copa ColombiaKolumbien	75	50.7%	0.625	56.1%	41.5%
Third NL - SrediteKroatien	75	46.7%	0.641	-	-
QSL CupKatar	74	31.1%	0.734	31.3%	35.4%
Third NL - SjeverKroatien	74	50.0%	0.636	-	-
Copa PaulistaBrasilien	74	37.8%	0.667	50.0%	54.3%
Copa do Brasil U20Brasilien	74	56.8%	0.594	65.3%	53.1%
Coppa Italia Serie CItalien	74	32.4%	0.720	51.9%	57.7%
Tasmania Southern ChampionshipAustralien	74	48.6%	0.588	50.0%	50.0%
U19 Divisie 1Niederlande	74	56.8%	0.601	-	-
CupUkraine	73	49.3%	0.598	64.6%	47.9%
Premier LeagueSingapur	73	64.4%	0.504	59.1%	57.6%
Division 1Kuwait	73	54.8%	0.586	43.8%	31.3%
Paranaense U20Brasilien	73	41.1%	0.685	-	-
Premier LeagueBarbados	71	62.0%	0.568	-	-
CupIsland	71	57.7%	0.622	20.0%	40.0%
Landesliga - NiederosterreichÖsterreich	70	41.4%	0.680	-	-
HKFA 1st DivisionHong Kong	68	58.8%	0.580	-	-
DFB PokalDeutschland	68	52.9%	0.532	67.7%	54.8%
Mineiro - 2Brasilien	68	33.8%	0.636	60.0%	44.0%
Maranhense - 2Brasilien	68	50.0%	0.623	66.7%	60.0%
World Cup - Qualification AfricaWelt	68	67.6%	0.518	-	-
Second DivisionKatar	66	50.0%	0.669	46.8%	46.8%
Primera División - ClausuraUruguay	66	37.9%	0.695	60.0%	63.3%
Third NL - ZapadKroatien	66	39.4%	0.659	-	-
Goiano U20Brasilien	66	51.5%	0.632	48.2%	44.6%
AFC U23 Asian Cup - QualificationWelt	66	72.7%	0.499	-	-
Schweizer CupSchweiz	65	53.8%	0.572	68.8%	47.9%
Coppa Italia Serie DItalien	65	44.6%	0.657	100.0%	33.3%
FA CupSchottland	64	45.3%	0.606	45.5%	54.5%
Leagues CupWelt	64	53.1%	0.604	59.7%	58.1%
Copa Santa CatarinaBrasilien	63	41.3%	0.694	57.9%	47.4%
Copa GaúchaBrasilien	63	36.5%	0.682	63.9%	61.1%
Liga WomenPeru	63	61.9%	0.525	68.5%	35.2%
CupÖsterreich	62	67.7%	0.414	76.0%	52.0%
Lao LeagueLaos	62	43.5%	0.591	46.0%	58.0%
Svenska Cupen - WomenSchweden	62	50.0%	0.608	82.6%	47.8%
Carioca A2Brasilien	62	43.5%	0.695	51.9%	63.0%
Goiano - 2Brasilien	62	40.3%	0.706	56.5%	61.3%
Brasileiro U20 BBrasilien	62	58.1%	0.590	41.9%	46.5%
Denmark Series - Group 3Dänemark	61	47.5%	0.628	-	-
Coupe NationaleAlgerien	61	47.5%	0.623	41.2%	52.9%
Carioca B2Brasilien	61	39.3%	0.691	37.0%	43.5%
Premier League International CupWelt	61	29.5%	0.750	54.2%	58.3%
AFC Women's Champions LeagueWelt	60	63.3%	0.504	63.0%	46.3%
CupLuxemburg	59	49.2%	0.610	81.3%	62.5%
Denmark Series - Group 1Dänemark	58	56.9%	0.618	-	-
Emperor CupJapan	58	56.9%	0.573	60.3%	53.4%
Copa do NordesteBrasilien	58	39.7%	0.667	64.5%	45.2%
League CupÄgypten	58	32.8%	0.732	70.6%	70.6%
Copa ArgentinaArgentinien	57	47.4%	0.613	59.1%	50.0%
I-LeagueIndien	57	29.8%	0.722	31.7%	36.6%
FA CupChina	57	42.1%	0.612	52.6%	63.2%
Goiano - 3Brasilien	57	71.9%	0.506	-	-
Paranaense - 2Brasilien	56	42.9%	0.596	45.8%	45.8%
Copa EcuadorEcuador	56	44.6%	0.628	33.3%	53.3%
Capixaba BBrasilien	56	64.3%	0.552	51.1%	37.8%
Regionalliga - SouthÖsterreich	56	41.1%	0.726	55.4%	57.1%
Regionalliga - NorthÖsterreich	56	50.0%	0.661	58.9%	53.6%
Coppa ItaliaItalien	55	54.5%	0.539	48.0%	54.0%
AFC U20 Asian CupWelt	55	67.3%	0.472	63.6%	54.5%
CONCACAF Central American CupWelt	55	67.3%	0.520	48.1%	46.3%
Santosh TrophyIndien	54	61.1%	0.556	47.6%	52.4%
Estadual Junior U20Brasilien	54	48.1%	0.615	75.0%	62.5%
World Cup - Women - Qualification ConcacafWelt	54	72.2%	0.477	35.7%	85.7%
Denmark Series - Group 4Dänemark	53	58.5%	0.592	-	-
CoppaBelarus	53	47.2%	0.625	62.5%	70.8%
League CupIsland	52	57.7%	0.604	40.0%	35.0%
Baiano - 2Brasilien	52	69.2%	0.481	44.4%	59.3%
World Cup - U20Welt	52	50.0%	0.651	48.1%	51.9%
OFC Pro LeagueWelt	52	44.2%	0.642	55.3%	55.3%
CupKroatien	51	54.9%	0.604	68.4%	52.6%
FA CupSüdkorea	51	45.1%	0.645	49.0%	45.1%
World Cup - U17 - WomenWelt	50	44.0%	0.629	42.9%	67.9%
Cearense - 2Brasilien	49	34.7%	0.724	52.6%	63.2%
David Kipiani CupGeorgien	49	40.8%	0.653	40.0%	60.0%
State CupIsrael	48	43.8%	0.681	40.0%	60.0%
Sul-MatogrossenseBrasilien	48	37.5%	0.664	66.7%	33.3%
Asian Cup - QualificationWelt	48	68.8%	0.504	-	-
World Cup - U20 - WomenWelt	48	60.4%	0.557	70.8%	45.8%
Africa Cup of Nations - WomenWelt	48	52.1%	0.615	58.8%	58.8%
DFB Pokal - WomenDeutschland	47	61.7%	0.537	87.5%	31.3%
National League - NationalNeuseeland	47	36.2%	0.719	31.4%	40.0%
Primeira DivisãoMacau	47	68.1%	0.555	66.7%	55.6%
AFC Challenge LeagueWelt	47	44.7%	0.637	38.9%	38.9%
CupBulgarien	46	39.1%	0.663	25.0%	50.0%
Coppa Italia PrimaveraItalien	46	54.3%	0.619	62.5%	56.3%
CupTunesien	45	37.8%	0.685	72.7%	54.5%
Catarinense - 1Brasilien	44	38.6%	0.723	46.4%	57.1%
Premier DivisionGrenada	44	50.0%	0.608	-	-
Mineiro - 3Brasilien	44	47.7%	0.654	33.3%	37.5%
Gaúcho - 3Brasilien	44	56.8%	0.590	60.0%	65.0%
Copa PresidenteEl Salvador	44	36.4%	0.626	50.0%	50.0%
Copa do Brasil U17Brasilien	43	51.2%	0.605	-	-
FAI CupIrland	42	57.1%	0.543	53.3%	53.3%
Goiano - 1Brasilien	42	42.9%	0.679	54.5%	57.6%
Division 2 - Play-offsSchweden	42	26.2%	0.773	16.0%	32.0%
Copa VenezuelaVenezuela	42	57.1%	0.588	57.6%	36.4%
Copa Rio U20Brasilien	42	47.6%	0.694	46.2%	53.8%
Denmark Series - Group 2Dänemark	41	43.9%	0.650	-	-
King's CupSaudi-Arabien	41	58.5%	0.562	57.1%	33.3%
League 1 OntarioKanada	41	51.2%	0.606	-	-
Sergipano - 2Brasilien	41	68.3%	0.561	-	-
UEFA Europa Cup - WomenWelt	41	56.1%	0.586	58.6%	44.8%
CupAlbanien	40	62.5%	0.600	33.3%	33.3%
Carioca - 1Brasilien	40	47.5%	0.629	56.8%	45.9%
Copa De La LigaPeru	40	42.5%	0.707	43.5%	47.8%
Serie C - Promotion - Play-offsItalien	39	25.6%	0.748	55.0%	70.0%
CONCACAF Women U17Welt	39	76.9%	0.517	-	-
FA CupThailand	38	55.3%	0.628	77.8%	66.7%
Copa FederacionSpanien	38	44.7%	0.655	55.2%	51.7%
ParaenseBrasilien	38	42.1%	0.705	68.2%	59.1%
National League - NorthernNeuseeland	38	42.1%	0.641	45.0%	25.0%
Copa RioBrasilien	38	39.5%	0.714	43.8%	46.9%
Arab CupWelt	38	50.0%	0.654	75.0%	87.5%
WSL CupEngland	37	51.4%	0.606	100.0%	100.0%
RondonienseBrasilien	37	67.6%	0.506	-	-
Gaúcho - 1Brasilien	37	35.1%	0.649	66.7%	43.3%
CupSüdafrika	36	36.1%	0.733	81.8%	63.6%
CupaMoldawien	36	58.3%	0.570	81.8%	54.5%
CapixabaBrasilien	36	41.7%	0.701	60.9%	52.2%
SergipanoBrasilien	36	47.2%	0.634	45.5%	57.6%
Paraense A3Brasilien	36	52.8%	0.684	69.2%	61.5%
Copa De La LigaChile	36	50.0%	0.580	70.0%	55.0%
U19 leagueTürkei	36	47.2%	0.623	61.1%	47.2%
U19 leagueSerbien	36	58.3%	0.602	80.6%	55.6%
Úrvalsdeild WomenIsland	35	62.9%	0.576	18.2%	27.3%
Paulista - A1Brasilien	35	51.4%	0.654	51.5%	36.4%
National League - SouthernNeuseeland	35	65.7%	0.538	26.3%	31.6%
Copa UruguayUruguay	35	42.9%	0.643	45.5%	42.4%
Kakkonen - Play-offsFinnland	35	25.7%	0.726	19.4%	38.7%
Carioca CBrasilien	35	48.6%	0.645	58.6%	69.0%
Youth Viareggio CupWelt	35	45.7%	0.645	-	-
CONMEBOL U20 FemeninoWelt	35	48.6%	0.600	37.5%	62.5%
Copa Sul-SudesteBrasilien	35	37.1%	0.688	42.1%	42.1%
Northern Territory Premier LeagueAustralien	34	61.8%	0.576	-	-
CupLettland	34	61.8%	0.578	70.0%	50.0%
Coppa TitanoSan Marino	34	38.2%	0.594	53.8%	61.5%
CupSerbien	34	38.2%	0.767	16.7%	41.7%
FA TrophyMalta	34	58.8%	0.586	50.0%	16.7%
ParaibanoBrasilien	34	47.1%	0.695	54.5%	57.6%
Segunda División RFEF - Play-offsSpanien	34	32.4%	0.754	75.0%	87.5%
Alagoano - 2Brasilien	34	64.7%	0.498	50.0%	55.0%
CONCACAF Champions LeagueWelt	34	50.0%	0.649	72.7%	68.2%
K4 LeagueSüdkorea	34	55.9%	0.608	47.1%	55.9%
CupBosnien	33	60.6%	0.617	83.3%	66.7%
Copa ParaguayParaguay	33	45.5%	0.638	65.5%	65.5%
Paraibano 2Brasilien	33	30.3%	0.697	53.3%	60.0%
Pernambucano - 2Brasilien	33	39.4%	0.683	46.7%	40.0%
CupKasachstan	32	40.6%	0.721	57.1%	57.1%
CupKosovo	32	71.9%	0.540	0.0%	33.3%
I-League - 2nd DivisionIndien	32	43.8%	0.655	40.0%	26.7%
FA CupMalaysia	32	37.5%	0.682	36.7%	33.3%
CONCACAF Caribbean Club ChampionshipWelt	32	25.0%	0.758	50.0%	50.0%
CONMEBOL Libertadores FemeninaWelt	32	53.1%	0.616	-	-
CAF Cup of Nations - U17Welt	32	34.4%	0.727	66.7%	44.4%
ASEAN Club ChampionshipWelt	32	40.6%	0.641	41.7%	41.7%
CupJordanien	31	61.3%	0.569	57.1%	85.7%
Mineiro - 1Brasilien	31	51.6%	0.699	53.8%	50.0%
Australia CupAustralien	31	48.4%	0.566	54.8%	45.2%
Copa Espírito SantoBrasilien	31	58.1%	0.639	55.0%	55.0%
CupAserbaidschan	30	60.0%	0.564	77.8%	66.7%
Premier LeagueLibyen	30	43.3%	0.674	-	-
CupSlowenien	30	43.3%	0.645	62.5%	50.0%
CupLitauen	30	56.7%	0.597	50.0%	62.5%
Shield CupJordanien	30	46.7%	0.657	53.3%	53.3%
RoraimenseBrasilien	30	73.3%	0.453	50.0%	60.0%
National League - CentralNeuseeland	30	56.7%	0.602	6.7%	46.7%
All-Island Cup - WomenWelt	30	60.0%	0.617	14.3%	14.3%

Bei einigen hundert Spielen kann die Trefferquote einer Liga allein durch Zufall um mehrere Punkte schwanken. Vergleichen Sie Ligen mit großen Stichproben.

Die Zahlen lesen

Wie wir Genauigkeit messen

Trefferquote: Wie oft der Ausgang eintrat, den wir als wahrscheinlichsten markiert hatten. Einfach, berücksichtigt aber nicht, wie sicher die Prognose war.
Brier-Score: Der quadrierte Abstand zwischen unseren Wahrscheinlichkeiten und dem, was passiert ist. 0 ist perfekt; beim Spielausgang ergibt ein Drittel für jeden Ausgang 0,667.
Logarithmischer Verlust: Bestraft selbstsichere Fehler stärker als der Brier-Score. Niedriger ist besser.
Backtest: Das aktuelle Modell, angewendet auf vergangene Spiele mit nur den Informationen, die vor dem jeweiligen Anpfiff verfügbar waren. Es zeigt das Verhalten des Modells über viele Spielzeiten, ist aber eine Simulation und keine Aufzeichnung veröffentlichter Prognosen.
Veröffentlichte Prognosen: Prognosen, die wir tatsächlich gezeigt haben, vor dem Anpfiff mit Zeitstempel gespeichert und danach nie geändert.
Verwendetes Ergebnis: Der Spielstand nach 90 Minuten plus Nachspielzeit. Verlängerung und Elfmeterschießen zählen nicht.

Prognosearchiv → Methodik →

Prognosen sind Wahrscheinlichkeiten, keine Gewissheiten. Frühere Genauigkeit garantiert keine künftigen Ergebnisse.